Bitcoin Price Surge Ignites Q4 Rally Prospects, Eyeing $180K
The price of Bitcoin has bounced back from its September lows, driven by increasing volumes, institutional investments, and promising technical indicators, which heighten expectations for a rally in Q4.
Summary
- The price of Bitcoin has climbed to $114,603, marking a 2.5% increase over the past 24 hours, bolstered by increased trading volume and institutional investments.
- Experts suggest that gains observed in late September indicate the onset of a potential Q4 rally, with some anticipating new peaks approaching $180K.
- On-chain analytics reveal accumulation by long-term holders, decreasing exchange reserves, and strengthening technical indicators.
After a turbulent September, Bitcoin has gained traction as it enters the final quarter of 2025, moving back above $114,000. It was up 2.5% over the last 24 hours, trading at $114,603 at the time of this report. The leading cryptocurrency is now only 7.7% shy of its peak of $124,128 reached on August 14.
Moreover, market activity has surged significantly. Following a period of subdued sentiment, Bitcoin’s (BTC) daily trading volume has jumped by 70% to $58.8 billion in the last 24 hours, signaling a revival in investor engagement.
Bitcoin Anticipated to Rally into Q4
In a recent analysis, XWIN Research Japan, a contributor to CryptoQuant, highlighted that Bitcoin’s substantial rebound in late September was not merely coincidental. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut on September 17 weakened the U.S. dollar and propelled gold to new heights, setting the stage for Bitcoin to thrive as a digital alternative.
XWIN noted that capital traditionally flows into gold first before transitioning into Bitcoin as risk tolerance improves, and this pattern was evident last month.
Institutional demand also contributed to this momentum. The Securities and Exchange Commission’s easing of Exchange Traded Fund listing requirements bolstered confidence, paving the way for new XRP (XRP) and DOGE (DOGE) products, along with steady inflows into key funds such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC.
XWIN concluded that these shifts, coupled with reduced selling from both short- and long-term holders, indicate that the rally seen in September was not an isolated occurrence but rather the beginning of a more robust phase leading into Q4.
Bitcoin Accumulation Points to Higher Targets
Another CryptoQuant analyst, Carmelo Alemán, emphasized broader on-chain signals that bolster the bullish narrative. Over the past year, Bitcoin’s market capitalization expanded from $870 billion to $1.07 trillion, supported by average daily inflows of $385 million. Global liquidity continues to grow, while major wallets and miners incrementally accumulate Bitcoin.
Alemán suggests that these elements indicate Bitcoin is presently in an accumulation phase preceding a rally, with Q4 potentially heralding new all-time highs. He further predicts that if institutional funds and liquidity trends persist, Bitcoin could achieve a price of $180,000 by year-end.
Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis
These insights are mirrored in the technical charts as well. The latest recovery was initiated by oversold relative strength index levels noted in September, while Bitcoin has sustained solid support in the $108,000 to $110,000 range.
Moving averages across all major timeframes are currently signaling buy conditions, indicating an upward trend. Resistance stands at the $118,000 mark, followed by the all-time high from August around $124,000.
If these resistance levels are surpassed, analysts suggest a rally towards $150,000 to $180,000 by year-end is feasible, assuming liquidity influxes and institutional interest remain strong.