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Holland vs. Japan Preview: Betting Analysis, Odds, and Free Bet Offers (World Cup, Group F)

Illustration of World Cup 2026 betting preview for Holland vs Japan, featuring a soccer ball in a net alongside team jerseys.
Credit: THE SUN

HOLLAND begins its quest for their first World Cup title today against Japan at AT&T Stadium in Texas.

SunSport’s betting experts have analyzed the contest and summarized the best betting tips, odds, and exclusive sign-up offers from our reliable bookmaker partners.

New customers can take advantage of fantastic football betting sign-up bonuses and free bet promotions currently available from our bookmaker partners listed below.

WORLD CUP 2026 FREE BETS AND SIGN-UP OFFERS

Current sign-up promotions from our partners👇

Paddy Power 50/1 for England to QUALIFY from Group L
BOYLE Sports Bet £10 Get £40 in free bets
Tote Bet £10 Get £40 in free bets
talkSPORT BET Get 3 x 200% Football Boost Tokens + 2 x £10 Free Bets
Betfred 66/1 for England to wear white at the World Cup
Midnite Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets
Sky Bet Bet £10 Get £50 in free bets
Betfair Bet £10 Get £50 in free bets
BetMGM Bet £10 Get £40 in free bets
Spreadex Bet £10 Get up to £100 in free bets
William Hill Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets
bet365 Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets
SBK Bet £20 Get £40 in free bets
Coral Bet £10 Get £40 in free bets

Holland vs Japan preview

The Group F action commences with what promises to be a thrilling matchup between the Netherlands and Japan.

Ranked seventh by FIFA, the Dutch team is favored to kick off their campaign with a win, particularly after Ronald Koeman’s squad demonstrated strong form throughout qualification.

The Netherlands accumulated 20 points from 24 possible, scoring 27 goals and conceding just four, achieving five clean sheets in the process.

Moreover, the Dutch have a track record of success in tournaments. Regardless of squad turbulence or form, Oranje consistently rises to the occasion at crucial moments.

Reaching the semi-finals of Euro 2024 and narrowly missing out against England, their last World Cup ended in a penalty shootout loss to the eventually triumphant Argentina.

There is potential for concern within Koeman’s team. While they boast solidity in defense and midfield with the likes of Virgil van Dijk, Micky van de Ven, and Frenkie de Jong, they rely heavily on Memphis Depay for scoring, especially with Xavi Simons absent.

Discover The Sun’s betting publication principles here

Still, some uncertainties persist. The Netherlands could not secure victories against their most formidable qualifying opponent, Poland, in two meetings and faced a recent defeat to Algeria and a draw with Ecuador in friendlies.

Conversely, Japan brings optimism and seems poised for another impactful World Cup run.

The Samurai Blue were the first country, apart from the hosts, to qualify for these finals after an impressive campaign that saw them net 51 goals and secure progression with three matches remaining.

Despite the absence of Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino, Hajime Moriyasu’s squad has proven to be stronger collectively and enters with a six-match winning run, including noteworthy triumphs against Brazil, England, and Scotland, the last two without conceding a single goal.

Additionally, Japan topped a tough group containing Spain and Germany in the last World Cup, ultimately exiting on penalties against Croatia in the round of 16.


Holland vs Japan odds

Odds are accurate at the time of publication and subject to change.

Paddy Power’s standout 50/1 offer

How to claim

  1. Visit the Paddy Power website HERE*
  2. Create a new account using Promo Code: YFBDHO
  3. Deposit a minimum of £5 using Cards
  4. Place a maximum £1 bet on England to qualify from Group L by 9pm UK time on June 17th
  5. If your wager is successful, you will receive cash at the regular odds plus an additional amount to bring the total payout to the enhanced 50/1, credited as free bet builders.
  6. Your free bet will be available once your qualifying bet is settled. Free bets are valid for 7 days.
  7. A £2 free bet will be credited for each England group stage victory, at least 24 hours post the winning fixture settlement.

England to qualify from Group L | 50/1!

Holland vs Japan tips and betting predictions


Tip: Japan Draw No Bet

Given the context presented, I have substantial confidence in Japan’s ability to compete effectively with the Netherlands for Group F leadership. Therefore, I’m backing Japan Draw No Bet at 8/5 with Betfair.

As previously noted, Japan has a history of delivering surprising performances at World Cups, having defeated both Spain and Germany in 2022 before taking Croatia to penalties in the last 16.

Even in the absence of Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino, many believe Hajime Moriyasu’s squad is superior to their 2018 counterpart, entering on a remarkable streak of six consecutive wins against teams like Brazil, England, and Scotland.

In terms of defense, Japan demonstrated solidity in qualification, conceding only three goals across ten matches. They are also currently enjoying a run of five consecutive clean sheets, which may pose a challenge for a Dutch team that netted just one goal in recent friendlies against Algeria and Ecuador—an own goal.

Bet: Japan Draw No Bet at 8/5 with Betfair


First goalscorer and correct score prediction

Holland vs Japan

  • First goalscorer: Ayase Ueda at 7/1 with Sky Bet

Terms and conditions

*Betfred 66/1 offer. 18+. New customers only. Register with ENG66 by 21:00 17/06/26. Deposit via Debit Card & bet £1 Pre-Match on England to wear white vs Croatia. 66/1 paid out at max £66 in Bet Builder Free Bets if England wear white, otherwise £40 in Bet Builder Free Bets. Credited within 24 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply.

*SBK. New UK customers. Min £20 first deposit. Place a bet of £20 at min odds of 2/1 (3.0) and get £40 in Free Bets within 48 hours. Restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.

*William Hill. 18+. Play Safe. Online only. Ends 31.12.26. New UK customers only, registering with promo code R30. Make your first deposit of £10+, then place a £10 single bet from main balance at odds of 1/2+ on any sports market (excluding Virtuals). Get £30 in Free Bets (3x£10) after settlement. Free Bets valid on any sports market excluding Virtuals, expire in 7 days, non-withdrawable and must be used in full (£10 each). Deposits via PayPal, Neosurf, Paysafe, Apple Pay, NETELLER, Skrill, ecoPayz, Kalibra/Postpay, and WH PLUS Card excluded. One per customer. Full T&Cs apply.

*Tote. New customers online only. Only valid with code B10G40 on registration. Bet a min £/€10 at odds of 1/1 (2.0) across sports or racing within 7 days of registration. Receive £/€20 Tote Credit, £/€10 Free Sports Bet, and 2 x £/€5 Bet Builder within 48 hours of qualifying bet settlement. Qualifying bet is the first racing pool or sports bet added to the bet slip. Voided/non-runner bets will not qualify; subsequent bet will be qualifying bet. 7-day expiry. 18+. One per customer. Selected customers only. Full T&Cs apply. Gambleaware.org.

*BetMGM. 18+. New customers: Deposit £10+ within 7 days and place a sports bet. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports Bet). Valid 7 days. Min odds apply. Excludes virtual sports, esports, and non-UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply.

*BOYLE Sports. 18+. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. T&Cs Apply.

*Spreadex. 18+. Place a £10 fixed odds Outright winner cash bet on a nation to win the World Cup. Once the bet is placed, receive 1 x free £10 fixed odds bet, 1 x free £10 football Total Goals spread bet, and 1 x free £10 football Supremacy spread bet. Then receive a further free £10 fixed odds bet for every match your chosen nation wins during the World Cup, to a maximum of 7 wins. Offer expires at 9pm on Tuesday, 23rd June 2026. 18+ gambleaware.org.

*Midnite. 18+. New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org.

*Paddy Power. England to Qualify from Group L. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bet Builder bets. £2 Free Bet for every England group stage win will be credited at least 24hrs after the winning fixture is settled. Free bets are valid for 30 days; only deposits via cards, ApplePay, & Pay by Bank are eligible. T&C’s apply. Please gamble responsibly.

*Betfair. 18+. Place a min £10 bet on Sportsbook on odds of min EVS (2.0), get 5x £10 in Free Bet Builders, Accumulators, or multiples to use on any sport. Rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Pay by Bank, Apple Pay, or Debit Card will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.

*Sky Bet. 18+. New customers only. £10 minimum deposit. First single, e/w or multiples bet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 3 x £10 bet tokens for Football BuildABets only. 2 x £10 bet tokens for Football Accas only. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets are non-withdrawable. Free Bets expire after 7 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply.

*talkSPORT BET. 18+ New Customers only. Opt in, deposit, and bet £10+ on any Football market (1/1+ odds) within 7 days of sign-up. Get 3 Boost tokens and 2 x £10 Free Bets for select Football markets. Rewards expire in 30 days. T&Cs apply | GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly

*Coral. 18+ New Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excluded. 1st Deposit & Bet £/€10+ at min odds 1/2 on Sports within 14 days of account registration & Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid for 7 days). Max 1 Free Bet per player. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.

*bet365. 18+. For New Customers. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet, and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

*England to Qualify from Group L. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bet Builder bets. £2 Free Bet for every England group stage win will be credited at least 24hrs after the winning fixture is settled. Free bets are valid for 30 days; only deposits via cards, ApplePay, & Pay by Bank are eligible. T&C’s apply. Please gamble responsibly.


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